Nov 17, 2023 By Triston Martin
Bulls and bears, two of the most recognizable symbols in the financial markets, share similarities in size, strength, and territoriality. Nonetheless, a bull market is defined as a 20% or more significant increase in stock market value from its recent low. In comparison, a bear market is defined as a 20% or more substantial decline in stock market value from its recent high.
Although etymologists can't agree on which of these two nouns emerged first, "bear" is generally accepted as the original.
Merriam-Webster believes the phrase originates from the adage that it's foolish "to sell the bear's skin before one has caught the bearShort selling, or "selling the bearskin," is the practice of selling borrowed stock with the expectation of repurchasing and returning it at a reduced price; the term dates back to the 18th century.
The word "bearskin jobbers," initially referring to those who profited from short-selling stocks, was subsequently abbreviated to "bears." The history of the term "bull" is less clear, although it seems to have come into usage because market participants and pundits want an alternative animal metaphor to "bear."
Most investors need help to accurately identify when a bull market will turn into a bear market. To sum up, trying to time the market is never a good idea.
Loss aversion bias, in which losses are magnified relative to profits, is widespread among individual investors and is often triggered by news of a bad market. In general, though, the market does quite well in the long run.
Historically, bull market expansions have been longer and more consistent than bear market recessions. Knowing that bear markets are temporary, institutional investors like banks, businesses, and wealth management firms focus less on the here and now and more on the long run. Most financial experts agree that you should endure market ups and downs by keeping your investments unchanged.
Or, you may view it as this: When compared to days of loss, the S&P 500 index has recently seen more days of growth. The 131.4-month bull market and economic boom from March 2009 to early 2020 was the longest in U.S. history, with gains of almost 400%.
However, bear market periods of decline are typical reactions to economic and geopolitical factors like war, oil crises, worldwide pandemics, market speculation, inflation, and rising interest rates. The longest bear market lasted over 32 months and began with the 1929 stock market crash.
Recessions can co-occur as preceding or following a lousy market. Therefore, the two are typically lumped together. The 1929 stock market crash and the subprime mortgage crisis were two of the worst economic downturns in American history, and they both occurred during bear markets. However, bear markets and economic downturns sometimes go hand in hand.
This is known as a bear market when stock markets, such as the S&P 500, experience a prolonged period of declining prices. In contrast, when national economic production falls, this is known as a recession. A country's GDP (or economic output) is the market worth of all final goods and services produced within its borders. In financial terms, a recession is defined as two or more consecutive quarters of slow growth and contraction—the National Bureau of Economic Research monitors and reports on the expansion and contraction of the American economy.
Employment and output both tend to be healthy when investors are upbeat. Company layoffs during gloomier bearish periods might affect both unemployment rates and the chances of a recession. The recent downturn in the United States, which lasted from February 2020 to April 2020, can be partially attributed to the spread of the coronavirus.
Since 2020, market and U.S. economic conditions have been characterized by volatility in stock prices. During 2020, COVID-19 triggered the shortest market downturn at 1.1 months. The index recovered and gained ground, falling back into bear market territory in June 2022. And what does that imply, exactly?
Financial markets, like gravity, always correct themselves. In a nutshell: unchecked growth is not sustainable in the long run. Instead, markets go through cycles of expansion and contraction. A wide variety of jargon is used to describe a falling stock market. The term "dip" refers to a temporary decrease in price following an upward trend. A stock market correction is a decline of at least 10% but less than 20%. A market collapse occurs when prices drop precipitously and quickly.
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